Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Monday, April 13, 2015

Beware of Low Frequency Data

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(This post is based on the talk of the same title I gave at Quantopian's NYC conference  which commenced at 3.14.15 9:26:54. Do these nu...
138 comments:
Saturday, February 28, 2015

Commitments of Traders (COT) strategy on soybean futures

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In our drive to extract alphas from a variety of non-price data, we came across this old-fashioned source: Commitments of Traders (COT) on f...
99 comments:
Thursday, January 08, 2015

Trading with Estimize and I/B/E/S earnings estimates data

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By Yang Gao Estimize is an online-community utilizing 'wisdom of crowds' to offer intelligence about market. It contains a wide r...
81 comments:
Friday, November 14, 2014

Rent, don’t buy, data: our experience with QuantGo (Guest Post)

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By Roger Hunter I am a quant researcher and developer for QTS Partners, a commodity pool Ernie (author of this blog) founded in 2011. I he...
104 comments:
Friday, September 05, 2014

Moving Average Crossover = Triangle Filter on 1-Period Returns

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Many traders who use technical analysis favor the Moving Average Crossover as a momentum indicator. They compute the short-term minus the lo...
145 comments:
Monday, August 18, 2014

Kelly vs. Markowitz Portfolio Optimization

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In my book , I described a very simple and elegant formula for determining the optimal asset allocation among N assets: F=C -1 *M   (1) ...
95 comments:
Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Another "universal" capital allocation algorithm

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Financial engineers are accustomed to borrowing techniques from scientists in other fields (e.g. genetic algorithms), but rarely does the bo...
29 comments:
Friday, May 09, 2014

Short Interest as a Factor

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Readers of zerohedge.com will no doubt be impressed by this chart  and the accompanying article : Cumulative Returns of Most Shorted Sto...
146 comments:
Thursday, March 27, 2014

Update on the fundamentals factors: their effect on small cap stocks

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In my last post , I reported that the fundamental factors used by Lyle and Wang seem to generate no returns on SP500 large cap stocks. These...
67 comments:
Saturday, February 08, 2014

Fundamental factors revisited, with a technology update

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Contrary to my tradition of alerting readers to new and fancypants factors for predicting stock returns (while not necessarily endorsing an...
90 comments:
Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Variance Risk Premium for Return Forecasting

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Folklore has it that VIX is a reasonable leading indicator of risk. Presumably that means if VIX is high, then there is a good chance that t...
59 comments:
Friday, November 15, 2013

Cointegration Trading with Log Prices vs. Prices

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In my recent  book , I highlighted a difference between cointegration (pair) trading of price spreads and log price spreads. Suppose the pri...
169 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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