Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Friday, November 14, 2014

Rent, don’t buy, data: our experience with QuantGo (Guest Post)

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By Roger Hunter I am a quant researcher and developer for QTS Partners, a commodity pool Ernie (author of this blog) founded in 2011. I he...
104 comments:
Friday, September 05, 2014

Moving Average Crossover = Triangle Filter on 1-Period Returns

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Many traders who use technical analysis favor the Moving Average Crossover as a momentum indicator. They compute the short-term minus the lo...
145 comments:
Monday, August 18, 2014

Kelly vs. Markowitz Portfolio Optimization

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In my book , I described a very simple and elegant formula for determining the optimal asset allocation among N assets: F=C -1 *M   (1) ...
95 comments:
Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Another "universal" capital allocation algorithm

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Financial engineers are accustomed to borrowing techniques from scientists in other fields (e.g. genetic algorithms), but rarely does the bo...
29 comments:
Friday, May 09, 2014

Short Interest as a Factor

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Readers of zerohedge.com will no doubt be impressed by this chart  and the accompanying article : Cumulative Returns of Most Shorted Sto...
146 comments:
Thursday, March 27, 2014

Update on the fundamentals factors: their effect on small cap stocks

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In my last post , I reported that the fundamental factors used by Lyle and Wang seem to generate no returns on SP500 large cap stocks. These...
67 comments:
Saturday, February 08, 2014

Fundamental factors revisited, with a technology update

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Contrary to my tradition of alerting readers to new and fancypants factors for predicting stock returns (while not necessarily endorsing an...
90 comments:
Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Variance Risk Premium for Return Forecasting

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Folklore has it that VIX is a reasonable leading indicator of risk. Presumably that means if VIX is high, then there is a good chance that t...
59 comments:
Friday, November 15, 2013

Cointegration Trading with Log Prices vs. Prices

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In my recent  book , I highlighted a difference between cointegration (pair) trading of price spreads and log price spreads. Suppose the pri...
169 comments:
Thursday, October 24, 2013

How Useful is Order Flow and VPIN?

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Can short-term price movement be predicted? (I am speaking of  seconds or minutes here.) This is a question not only relevant to high freque...
31 comments:
Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Guest Post: A qualitative review of VIX F&O pricing and hedging models

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By Azouz Gmach VIX Futures & Options are one of the most actively traded index derivatives series on the Chicago Board Options Exchan...
20 comments:
Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Momentum Crash and Recovery

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In my book I devoted considerable attention to the phenomenon of " Momentum Crashes " that professor Kent Daniel discovered. Thi...
82 comments:
Saturday, May 25, 2013

My new book on Algorithmic Trading is out

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A reader (Hat tip: Ken) told me that my new book Algorithmic Trading: Winning Strategies and Their Rationale  is now available for purchase ...
260 comments:
Friday, May 03, 2013

Nonlinear Trading Strategies

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I have long been partial to linear strategies due to their simplicity and relative immunity to overfitting. They can be used quite easily t...
28 comments:
Thursday, April 04, 2013

An Integrated Development Environment for High Frequency Strategies

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I have come across many software platforms that allow traders to first specify and backtest a strategy and then, with the push of a button, ...
81 comments:
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