Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Guest Post: A qualitative review of VIX F&O pricing and hedging models

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By Azouz Gmach VIX Futures & Options are one of the most actively traded index derivatives series on the Chicago Board Options Exchan...
20 comments:
Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Momentum Crash and Recovery

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In my book I devoted considerable attention to the phenomenon of " Momentum Crashes " that professor Kent Daniel discovered. Thi...
82 comments:
Saturday, May 25, 2013

My new book on Algorithmic Trading is out

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A reader (Hat tip: Ken) told me that my new book Algorithmic Trading: Winning Strategies and Their Rationale  is now available for purchase ...
260 comments:
Friday, May 03, 2013

Nonlinear Trading Strategies

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I have long been partial to linear strategies due to their simplicity and relative immunity to overfitting. They can be used quite easily t...
28 comments:
Thursday, April 04, 2013

An Integrated Development Environment for High Frequency Strategies

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I have come across many software platforms that allow traders to first specify and backtest a strategy and then, with the push of a button, ...
81 comments:
Thursday, March 14, 2013

What Can Quant Traders Learn from Taleb's "Antifragile"?

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It can seem a bit ironic that we should be discussing Nassim Taleb's best-seller " Antifragile " here, since most algorithmic ...
34 comments:
Monday, February 18, 2013

A workshop, a webinar, and a question

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There is a workshop on the 25th of February titled " Market turbulence; monetization; and universality " by Mike Lipkin at Columbi...
46 comments:
Sunday, February 03, 2013

A stock factor based on option volatility smirk

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A reader pointed out an interesting paper that suggests using option volatility smirk as a factor to rank stocks. Volatility smirk is the d...
34 comments:
Wednesday, January 02, 2013

The Pseudo-science of Hypothesis Testing

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Backtesting trading strategies necessarily involves a very limited amount of historical data. For example, I seldom test strategies with dat...
90 comments:
Thursday, November 29, 2012

The Importance of 2 (as Sharpe Ratio)

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A reader  ezbentley recently pointed out a little-noticed fact in the derivation of Kelly's formula: if we apply the optimal Kelly lev...
83 comments:
Thursday, October 25, 2012

A leveraged ETFs strategy

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In a post some years ago, I argued that leveraged ETF (especially the triple leveraged ones) are unsuitable for long-term holdings. Today, ...
39 comments:
Monday, October 08, 2012

Order flow as a predictor of return

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Order flow is signed transaction volume: if an order is executed at the ask price, the incremental order flow is +(order size); if executed ...
21 comments:
Saturday, August 04, 2012

An options workshop and other miscellany

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I confess I have always found it hard to trade options. This is despite having read some of the "bibles" of options trading, inclu...
39 comments:
Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Extracting roll returns from futures

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Futures returns consist of two components: the returns of the spot price and the "roll returns". This is kind of obvious if you th...
40 comments:
Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Momentum strategies: a book review

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As a devout mean-reversion trader, I find Mike Dever's new book " Jackass Investing " unexpectedly well-argued and readable. ...
65 comments:
Thursday, April 26, 2012

A few announcements

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First, an iPad version of this blog has been launched, so if you are reading this on an iPad, the look will be different. If you want to go ...
59 comments:
Friday, April 20, 2012

The life and death of a strategy

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Sometimes it is instructive to look back at some strategies that used to thrive, and then quite suddenly contracted a chronic illness that u...
74 comments:
Friday, March 23, 2012

High-frequency trading in the foreign exchange market

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This is the title of a report published by the Bank of International Settlements (which serves central banks around the world) in September...
56 comments:
Saturday, March 03, 2012

Hidden Markov model applied to FX prediction

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I read with interest an older paper " Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns? " by Dueker and Neely o...
36 comments:
Monday, February 13, 2012

Ideas from a psychologist

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I have just finished reading Daniel Kahneman's bestseller " Thinking, Fast and Slow ", and found it full of inspirations impor...
48 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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