Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Friday, March 23, 2012

High-frequency trading in the foreign exchange market

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This is the title of a report published by the Bank of International Settlements (which serves central banks around the world) in September...
56 comments:
Saturday, March 03, 2012

Hidden Markov model applied to FX prediction

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I read with interest an older paper " Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns? " by Dueker and Neely o...
36 comments:
Monday, February 13, 2012

Ideas from a psychologist

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I have just finished reading Daniel Kahneman's bestseller " Thinking, Fast and Slow ", and found it full of inspirations impor...
48 comments:
Monday, January 30, 2012

What worked in 2011?

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We all know that 2011 was a bad year for many hedge funds, with the average fund down 5% . But what type of strategies did well, and what di...
47 comments:
Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Risk indicators

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During the financial crisis of 2008, I wrote about how I watched some risk indicators such as the VIX or the TED spread  to decide what l...
20 comments:
Friday, November 11, 2011

Trading platform and EC2 revisited

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Recently I opened a  discussion on the various software platforms which allow the programmers among us to build trading strategies easily. ...
63 comments:
Friday, September 30, 2011

Stop loss, profit cap, survivorship bias, and black swans

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I have long espoused the view that we should not impose stop-losses on mean-reverting strategies, nor profit caps on momentum strategies. My...
60 comments:
Sunday, September 18, 2011

More on automated trading platforms

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The ideal software platform for automating backtesting and executing your algorithmic trading strategies depends mainly on your level of pro...
37 comments:
Saturday, July 23, 2011

Sorry, your return is too high for us

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I enjoyed reading Richard Wilson's The Hedge Fund Book  (Richard also runs the Hedge Fund Blogger  site). To be clear: it is purely mark...
30 comments:
Monday, July 18, 2011

The social utility of hedge funds

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There is an article in the New Yorker magazine profiling Bridgewater Associates, the world's biggest global macro hedge fund. Inevitabl...
13 comments:
Sunday, July 03, 2011

Hedge fund transparency and "barometers"

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Jim Liew of Alpha Quant Club recently posted an interesting article about the increasing demand for transparency of hedge fund strategies b...
20 comments:
Friday, June 17, 2011

When cointegration of a pair breaks down

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I have written a lot in the past about the cointegration of ETF pairs, and how this condition can lead to profitable pairs trading. However,...
142 comments:
Thursday, June 02, 2011

Even more on news driven trading

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News driven trading is even more in vogue today than when I last mentioned it, judging from the increasing number of vendors (e.g. Ravenpac...
10 comments:
Tuesday, May 17, 2011

A platform, a shareware site, and some courses for quant traders

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I mentioned in various places that Alphacet Discovery is an industrial strength integrated platform for backtesting and implementing quanti...
9 comments:
Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Time-of-day effects in FX trading

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As I mentioned in a previous post , one of the main ingredients of success in constructing a profitable momentum trading strategy in Forex (...
11 comments:
Saturday, April 23, 2011

The many facets of linear regression

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Many years ago, a portfolio manager asked me in a phone interview: "Do you believe that linear or nonlinear models are more powerful in...
87 comments:
Friday, March 11, 2011

Momentum strategies in futures and forex

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I have long found that it is easier to find good (i.e. high Sharpe ratio) mean-reverting strategies than good momentum strategies. Partly, t...
70 comments:
Tuesday, January 25, 2011

High frequency trading ideas

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I just started reading Larry Harris' book " Trading and Exchanges " (thanks to Max Dama 's glowing book review) and alread...
57 comments:
Wednesday, January 05, 2011

Shorting the VIX calendar spread

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Lately there were a few interesting discussions in the  blogosphere  on the profitability of shorting the VXX-VXZ spread. (See Quantum Blog ...
32 comments:
Thursday, November 18, 2010

Columbia Workshop on Financial Engineering

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Our readers in New York may be interested in this finance workshop at Columbia University tomorrow. I am particularly interested in the ta...
6 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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