Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

The enduring profitability of mean-reversion strategies

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Some readers have doubts about my assertion that mean-reversal models continue to be very profitable during this whole year of financial an...
32 comments:
Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Josh Brolin on day trading

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Actor Josh Brolin ("Milk", "W", "No Country for Old Man") said on Charlie Rose that his trading portfolio had ...
4 comments:
Friday, November 07, 2008

My book on Quantitative Trading is published

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My book on Quantitative Trading has been published and is now available from Amazon.com . Many thanks to all of you for your ideas, comments...
59 comments:
Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Some riskless profit, and why it exists

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Numerous commentators have pointed out the enormous yield spread between agencies debt (Fannie /Freddie) and US Treasuries. Here are some li...
8 comments:
Monday, October 20, 2008

How does the financial crisis affect quantitative trading?

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Now that we are reasonably sure the financial world is not coming to an end yet, it is reasonable to ask how quantitative strategies have be...
Monday, September 29, 2008

Webinar on algorithmic trading system

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Recently I participated in a webinar on using an algorithmic trading system called Alphacet Discovery. A link to the webinar can be found he...
2 comments:
Monday, September 08, 2008

Index change strategy

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Some years ago, I traded a simple index change strategy: buying stocks to be added to the SP500 index at the market open right after the ind...
6 comments:
Monday, August 25, 2008

Behavioral finance we can all use

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In their new book " Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness ", U of Chicago economist Richard Thaler (of beh...
Friday, August 22, 2008

Predicting SP500 futures using investor sentiment

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Ronald Domingues, an economics graduate student, has done an interesting study of how well a group of qualified investors with superior skil...
1 comment:
Saturday, August 16, 2008

More on parameterless trading model

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I have written before that my ideal trading model is one that has no parameters, and what ways there are to accomplish this. Actually, I fo...
15 comments:
Friday, July 18, 2008

What are we hedging here?

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I wrote a blog article last year on why hedging isn't always better. The more I try to practice what I preached, the more I am convince...
Thursday, June 26, 2008

Have oil stocks exhausted their run?

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Floyd Norris, the chief financial correspondent of The New York Times, suggested in his blog today that we are looking at "The Beginni...
5 comments:
Monday, June 23, 2008

Futures markets have no effect on spot prices

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NYTimes columnist and Princeton economist Paul Krugman has previously (see my link here ) argued that the trading of oil futures should have...
2 comments:
Saturday, June 21, 2008

Statistical electoral vote predictor: Update

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For readers who have been tracking the Gott and Colley presidential electoral vote prediction, they will notice a sudden switch over to a p...
Thursday, June 12, 2008

Statistical model predicts a McCain victory?

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There has been a lot of buzz lately about a simple statistical model proposed by astrophysicists Prof. Gott and Dr. Colley that uses the me...
2 comments:
Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Pre-order my book from Amazon.com

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A reader told me that he can now pre-order my book "Quantitative Trading: How to Build Your Own Algorithmic Trading Business" fro...
5 comments:
Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Parameterless trading models

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A portfolio manager that I used to work for like to pronounce that his trading models have "no free parameters". As is customary i...
6 comments:
Monday, May 26, 2008

Regime switching paper

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A preprint version of my Regime Switching and Machine Learning article can be found on my premium content area.
Friday, May 23, 2008

Machine Learning + Regime Switching = Profitability?

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My article on a trading strategy based on regime switching and machine learning techniques is now available on Automated Trader magazine (s...
9 comments:
Monday, May 12, 2008

Are high oil prices due to hedge fund speculation?

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The economist Paul Krugman advances an interesting argument today in the New York Times against the idea that high oil prices are due to he...
6 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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