Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Friday, July 18, 2008

What are we hedging here?

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I wrote a blog article last year on why hedging isn't always better. The more I try to practice what I preached, the more I am convince...
Thursday, June 26, 2008

Have oil stocks exhausted their run?

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Floyd Norris, the chief financial correspondent of The New York Times, suggested in his blog today that we are looking at "The Beginni...
5 comments:
Monday, June 23, 2008

Futures markets have no effect on spot prices

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NYTimes columnist and Princeton economist Paul Krugman has previously (see my link here ) argued that the trading of oil futures should have...
2 comments:
Saturday, June 21, 2008

Statistical electoral vote predictor: Update

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For readers who have been tracking the Gott and Colley presidential electoral vote prediction, they will notice a sudden switch over to a p...
Thursday, June 12, 2008

Statistical model predicts a McCain victory?

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There has been a lot of buzz lately about a simple statistical model proposed by astrophysicists Prof. Gott and Dr. Colley that uses the me...
2 comments:
Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Pre-order my book from Amazon.com

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A reader told me that he can now pre-order my book "Quantitative Trading: How to Build Your Own Algorithmic Trading Business" fro...
5 comments:
Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Parameterless trading models

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A portfolio manager that I used to work for like to pronounce that his trading models have "no free parameters". As is customary i...
6 comments:
Monday, May 26, 2008

Regime switching paper

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A preprint version of my Regime Switching and Machine Learning article can be found on my premium content area.
Friday, May 23, 2008

Machine Learning + Regime Switching = Profitability?

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My article on a trading strategy based on regime switching and machine learning techniques is now available on Automated Trader magazine (s...
9 comments:
Monday, May 12, 2008

Are high oil prices due to hedge fund speculation?

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The economist Paul Krugman advances an interesting argument today in the New York Times against the idea that high oil prices are due to he...
6 comments:
Saturday, May 10, 2008

5%: an important number for real estate investors

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Equity investors like to check out a company's price/earnings ratio before they invest in its stock. Likewise, real estate investors sho...
Sunday, May 04, 2008

A combination momentum and mean reversal model based on earnings annoucements

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Mark Hulbert of the New York Times just discussed 2 momentum strategies investigated by professors David Aboody, Brett Trueman and Reuven ...
6 comments:
Sunday, April 20, 2008

8 Recommended Sites for Economic Research

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I am happy to have my guest blogger Heather Johnson write about economics again. (I hope to emerge from my hiatus soon after finishing the f...
2 comments:
Thursday, March 20, 2008

5 Steps to Managing Risk as a Microfinancier

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It might surprise some of you that lending money to middle-class American home owners to buy houses may be much riskier than lending money t...
2 comments:
Monday, March 03, 2008

Upcoming seminar on subprime mortgage crisis

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For readers who live in the New York area, here is an interesting upcoming seminar at Columbia University: The subprime mortgage crisis of ...
Friday, February 22, 2008

Had it been really that bad?

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According to Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index , hedge funds had the worst performance in eight years during this past January. And long-short eq...
2 comments:
Tuesday, February 19, 2008

Looking for momentum? Check outside the US

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Momentum vs. mean-reversion has been a perennial theme in investing, not least quantitative investing. My contention has always been that mo...
2 comments:
Sunday, January 27, 2008

Are quant strategies in trouble yet again?

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There were reports that quant strategies have been suffering again in January, given the market turmoil generated partly by the Societe Gene...
Saturday, December 15, 2007

A sea of pain

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This Economist Magazine article confirms my personal experience that value investing is in a sea of pain at the moment. The reasons are qui...
Friday, November 23, 2007

Seasonal trades in stocks

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Readers of this blog have seen my discussions of various seasonal trades in commodities futures (e.g. see this article ). Recently, Mark Hul...
21 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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