Quantitative Trading

Quantitative investment and trading ideas, research, and analysis.

Sunday, January 28, 2007

Stop-loss strategy: re-post

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Due to a technical glitch, many subscribers to this blog were not notified of my latest article on stop-loss strategy and a method to estima...
1 comment:
Monday, January 15, 2007

What is your stop loss strategy?

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A reader recently asked me whether setting a stop loss for a trading strategy is a good idea. I am a big fan of setting stop loss, but there...
147 comments:

Sentiment as contrarian indicator

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More insights from Steve on using sentiment as contrarian indicator. (See his comments on my article on Market-cap and growth-value arbitr...
Sunday, January 14, 2007

Factor models: the debate continues...

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A reader JR just posted some very thoughtful comments on my article on factor models. You can read his comments and my reply here .
Thursday, January 11, 2007

Quantitative sports betting

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Here is an interesting WSJ article on a statistician who makes an excellent living betting on sports, quantitatively. (Thanks to my friend ...
3 comments:
Sunday, January 07, 2007

Universal Portfolios

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Let me describe a portfolio optimization scheme that, over the long run, is supposedly guaranteed to outperform the best stock in the portfo...
20 comments:
Tuesday, December 26, 2006

Do Factor Models Work in the Short Term?

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Besides pair-trading, “factor model” is the most popular workhorse of the statistical arbitrageur. In a previous article , I discussed the m...
10 comments:
Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Another limitation of artificial intelligence and data mining

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Sometime ago I espoused my views that AI and data mining techniques may not be suited for predicting financial markets. Here we have an art...
2 comments:
Thursday, December 14, 2006

DNA, cryptology, speech recognition, and trading

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There is an interesting New York Times article on a mathematician and cryptologist who used to work for the wildly successful hedge fund Re...
6 comments:
Sunday, December 10, 2006

Market-cap and growth-value arbitrage

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Predicting whether small-cap or growth stocks will outperform large-cap or value stocks in the next quarter is a favorite pastime of financi...
10 comments:
Monday, December 04, 2006

Artificial intelligence and stock picking

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There was an article in the New York Times a short while ago about a new hedge fund launched by Mr. Ray Kurzweil, a poineer in the field of...
15 comments:
Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Does Canada belong to the Emerging Markets?

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Many of us Canadians like to think of our economy as a member of the advanced, post-industrial world, with the landscape dotted with brand-n...
7 comments:
Friday, November 24, 2006

Trading a platinum-gold seasonal spread

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Quantitative traders can sometimes lose sight of the fact that many profitable trading strategies are extremely simple, requiring no math at...
12 comments:
Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Cointegration of OIH with spot oil price

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Both my friend Yaser Anwar over at the Investment Ideas blog and my reader Jim urged me to test the oil services ETF OIH instead of XLE fo...
Monday, November 20, 2006

Extended analysis of energy futures and stocks arbitrage

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A reader of my article “ An arbitrage trade between energy stocks and futures ” suggested that I should look at a longer history of crude oi...
2 comments:
Sunday, November 19, 2006

Email subscription to my blog now available

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Instead of checking this blog constantly for new postings, you can now sign up to receive an email whenever a new article appears. Please se...
2 comments:
Saturday, November 18, 2006

Correction: Maximizing Compounded Rate of Return

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A few readers pointed out a typo and an arithmetic error in my article " Maximizing Compounded Rate of Return ". In the geometric ...
Friday, November 17, 2006

Reader suggested a possible trading strategy with the GLD - GDX spread

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Steve Hansen of Raymond James Ltd. in Vancouver, B.C. suggested to me that a good trading signal for the GLD - GDX spread is when it exceed...
33 comments:

GLD-GDX spread reverted to 0 this morning

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Just a quick note on the GLD-GDX spread that I have been talking about . This morning (Nov 17) the negative spread completely reverted and h...
2 comments:
Sunday, November 12, 2006

An updated analysis of the arbitrage between gold and gold-miners

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In my article about the arbitrage opportunity between gold and gold-miners, I cautioned that we should take the analysis with a grain of sa...
32 comments:
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Ernie Chan

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